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CMC Markets专栏: 澳币是否已在底部?‏
2015-09-30 10:32:20   来源:CMC Markets   编辑:Mary      文章类型:转载
在上午的文章中提及,高盛集团资产管理开始买入澳币,认为市场对于中国经济的担忧过于严重,同时,由于美联储取消9月份进行加息的决定,使...
在上午的文章中提及,高盛集团资产管理开始买入澳币,认为市场对于中国经济的担忧过于严重,同时,由于美联储取消9月份进行加息的决定,使得澳币会有可能出现大幅度的反弹。高盛集团基金经理Philip Moffitt认为澳币对美元有可能反弹至75美分左右。澳大利亚也开始增加对于新兴市场的国债的购买,如墨西哥、巴西等国的债务资产。
 
我们对此观点表示认同,基本面支持理由在以前的文章中有所提及。结合技术层面来看,澳币对美元有可能出现底部反转,潜在的反弹目标分别为0.7200,0.7540
 
从短期形态来看,日线图中澳币/美元在0.6900附近连续出现支持,昨日有类似底部十字星的形态出现,日内澳币很有可能向上试探100天均线与61.8%黄金分割线回荡线重合的位置0.7050附近。如果能够顺利突破,则上方的潜在目标将可能为0.7140附近。

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周线图上看,9月6日-9月20日连续两周的反弹,可以看出澳币有强势的买盘出现,很有可能在前底的位置再次出现反弹,如果能够在此筑底成功,则上方的潜在多头目标可能分别在0.7200,0.7390,0.7540

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